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Machine Learning Foundations · End Term · Sep 2025 · FN

Machine Learning Foundations · End Term · Sep 2025 FN

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Questions and published explanations below are available without starting a test. Some questions may not have a published solution yet.

17 / 17 published solutions

Question 2 NAT · 3.0 marks

Consider a dataset of
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points in
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. The eigenvalues of the sample covariance matrix are:
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If we run PCA on this dataset and retain the top-
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principal components, what is a good choice of
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using the heuristic that we retain the smallest
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such that the retained components explain at least
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% of the total variance?

Published solution

**1. Compute Total Variance (Sum of All Eigenvalues):** - Given eigenvalues in descending order: \( \lambda_1 = 4.50,\; \lambda_2 = 2.00,\; \lambda_3 = 0.80,\; \lambda_4 = 0.05,\; \lambda_5 = 0.01 \). - Total variance: \[ \sum_{i=1}^5 \lambda_i = 4.50 + 2.00 + 0.80 + 0.05 + 0.01 = 7.36 \] **2. Find the Smallest \( k \) Explaining at Least 95% of Total Variance:** - **For \( k = 1 \):** \( \frac{4.50}{7.36} \approx 61.14\% < 95\% \) - **For \( k = 2 \):** \( \frac{4.50 + 2.00}{7.36} = \frac{6.50}{7.36} \approx 88.32\% < 95\% \) - **For \( k = 3 \):** \( \frac{4.50 + 2.00 + 0.80}{7.36} = \frac{7.30}{7.36} \approx 99.18\% \ge 95\% \) - Therefore, the smallest \( k \) that explains at least 95% of the total variance is **`3`**. **Answer: 3.**

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Question 3 MCQ · 3.0 marks

Using the polynomial kernel
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what is the dimension of the transformed feature space when the original input vector has dimension 3?
6406536004254.
6
6406536004255.
7
6406536004256.
9
6406536004257.
10

Published solution

**1. Formula for the Feature Space Dimension of an Inhomogeneous Polynomial Kernel:** - The polynomial kernel \( K(f, g) = (f^T g + 1)^d \) of degree \( d = 2 \) over input vectors of dimension \( n = 3 \) corresponds to a feature map containing all monomials of degree up to \( d = 2 \) in \( n = 3 \) variables. - The number of such monomials (the dimension of the transformed feature space) is: \[ \binom{n + d}{d} = \binom{3 + 2}{2} = \binom{5}{2} = \frac{5 \times 4}{2} = 10 \] - Explicitly, for \( f = (f_1, f_2, f_3)^T \), the 10 basis features are: - Constant term (1): \( 1 \) - Linear terms (3): \( f_1, f_2, f_3 \) - Pure quadratic terms (3): \( f_1^2, f_2^2, f_3^2 \) - Cross quadratic terms (3): \( f_1 f_2, f_1 f_3, f_2 f_3 \) Total = \( 1 + 3 + 3 + 3 = 10 \). **Answer: 10 (Option D).** A: **Incorrect:** 6 only counts the quadratic terms \( \binom{3+2-1}{2} = 6 \), omitting the 3 linear terms and 1 constant term. B: **Incorrect:** 7 omits the 3 cross-product terms \( f_1 f_2, f_1 f_3, f_2 f_3 \). C: **Incorrect:** 9 omits the constant bias term `1`. D: **Correct:** \( \binom{3 + 2}{2} = \binom{5}{2} = 10 \) (1 constant + 3 linear + 6 quadratic terms).

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Question 4 MCQ · 4.0 marks

Suppose you toss a coin 100 times and observe
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heads. Let
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denote the probability of heads on each flip. Assume the following discrete prior over
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:
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What will be the maximum a posteriori estimate (MAP) of the parameter
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?
6406536004258.
0.4
6406536004259.
0.5
6406536004260.
0.45
6406536004261.
0.6

Published solution

**1. Compare Posterior Scores \( P(D \mid \theta) p(\theta) \) for the Candidate Values of \( \theta \):** - Since the discrete prior \( p(\theta) \) is non-zero **only** at \( \theta = 0.5 \) (\( p(0.5) = 0.4 \)) and \( \theta = 0.4 \) (\( p(0.4) = 0.6 \)), the MAP estimate \( \hat{\theta}_{\text{MAP}} \) must be either \( 0.5 \) or \( 0.4 \). - Given \( N = 100 \) tosses with \( n = 47 \) heads and \( N - n = 53 \) tails: - **For \( \theta = 0.5 \):** \[ S(0.5) = (0.5)^{47} (0.5)^{53} \times 0.4 = (0.5)^{100} \times 0.4 \] - **For \( \theta = 0.4 \):** \[ S(0.4) = (0.4)^{47} (0.6)^{53} \times 0.6 \] **2. Compare Their Log-Posterior Ratio:** \[ \ln\frac{S(0.5)}{S(0.4)} = 100 \ln(0.5) + \ln(0.4) - \left[ 47 \ln(0.4) + 54 \ln(0.6) \right] \] \[ = 100(-0.69315) - 46(-0.91629) - 54(-0.51083) = -69.315 + 42.149 + 27.585 = +0.419 > 0 \] - Since \( S(0.5) > S(0.4) \) (specifically, \( \frac{S(0.5)}{S(0.4)} = e^{0.419} \approx 1.52 > 1 \)), the posterior probability is maximized at **`\theta = 0.5`**. **Answer: 0.5 (Option B).** A: **Incorrect:** At \( \theta = 0.4 \), the likelihood of observing 47 heads out of 100 is smaller than at \( \theta = 0.5 \) by a factor of \( \approx 2.28 \), which outweighs the prior ratio \( 0.6 / 0.4 = 1.5 \). B: **Correct:** \( P(D \mid \theta=0.5)p(0.5) > P(D \mid \theta=0.4)p(0.4) \), so the MAP estimate is \( 0.5 \). C: **Incorrect:** \( p(0.45) = 0 \) under the given discrete prior, so its posterior probability is 0. D: **Incorrect:** \( p(0.6) = 0 \) under the given discrete prior, so its posterior probability is 0.

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Question 5 MCQ · 3.0 marks

Consider a linear regression model
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, where
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,
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, and
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. The squared-error loss function is defined as:
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where
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is the number of samples. Which of the following equations correctly represents the gradient
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?
6406536004262.Source diagram or notation
6406536004263.Source diagram or notation
6406536004264.Source diagram or notation
6406536004265.Source diagram or notation

Published solution

**1. Differentiate \( L(w) = \frac{1}{n} \|X^T w - y\|_2^2 \) with Respect to \( w \in \mathbb{R}^{d \times 1} \):** - Expand the squared Euclidean norm: \[ L(w) = \frac{1}{n} (X^T w - y)^T (X^T w - y) \] - Using matrix calculus (chain rule), the gradient with respect to \( w \) is: \[ \frac{\partial L}{\partial w} = \frac{2}{n} X (X^T w - y) \] - Substituting \( \hat{y} = X^T w \) gives: \[ \frac{\partial L}{\partial w} = \frac{2}{n} X (\hat{y} - y) \] - Note the dimensions: \( X \in \mathbb{R}^{d \times n} \) and \( (\hat{y} - y) \in \mathbb{R}^{n \times 1} \), so \( X(\hat{y} - y) \in \mathbb{R}^{d \times 1} \), matching the dimension of \( w \). **Answer: \( \frac{\partial L}{\partial w} = \frac{2}{n} X(\hat{y} - y) \) (Option D).** A: **Incorrect:** Missing the factor of 2 from differentiating the square, and \( (\hat{y} - y)X^T \) has invalid matrix dimensions \( (n \times 1)(n \times d) \). B: **Incorrect:** Missing the factor of 2 from differentiating the squared norm. C: **Incorrect:** \( (\hat{y} - y)X^T \) has incompatible inner dimensions \( (n \times 1) \) and \( (n \times d) \). D: **Correct:** Differentiating \( \frac{1}{n}\|X^T w - y\|_2^2 \) with respect to \( w \) yields \( \frac{2}{n} X(X^T w - y) = \frac{2}{n} X(\hat{y} - y) \).

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Question 6 MCQ · 4.0 marks

Suppose you have a binary classification problem with 3-dimensional feature vectors
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. You are given 50 positive and 50 negative training examples, and you want to build a decision tree classifier. Consider 4 possible splits at the root node:
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Which of the following splits gives the highest information gain?
6406536004266.
Tree 1
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Tree 2
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Tree 3
6406536004269.
Tree 4

Published solution

**1. Compare Class Purity of Child Nodes Across the 4 Candidate Splits:** - All 4 candidate trees start with the same root node (`50 Pos, 50 Neg`, root entropy \( H(\text{Root}) = 1 \text{ bit} \)). - Maximizing Information Gain \( \text{IG} = H(\text{Root}) - H(\text{Children}) \) is equivalent to **minimizing the weighted child entropy \( H(\text{Children}) \)** (i.e., producing the purest child nodes): - **Tree 1:** Left (`20 Pos, 20 Neg`, 50/50 impure, \( H = 1 \)), Right (`30 Pos, 30 Neg`, 50/50 impure, \( H = 1 \)) \( \implies \text{IG} = 0 \). - **Tree 2:** Left (`40 Pos, 40 Neg`, 50/50 impure, \( H = 1 \)), Right (`10 Pos, 10 Neg`, 50/50 impure, \( H = 1 \)) \( \implies \text{IG} = 0 \). - **Tree 3:** Left (`45 Pos, 0 Neg`, **100% pure**, \( H = 0 \)), Right (`5 Pos, 50 Neg`, **90.9% pure**)! Only 5 examples out of 100 are mixed, giving the lowest child entropy and **highest Information Gain**. - **Tree 4:** Left (`10 Pos, 0 Neg`, pure), Right (`40 Pos, 50 Neg`, nearly 50/50 mixed, high entropy). **Answer: Tree 3 (Option C).** A: **Incorrect:** Both child nodes in Tree 1 have equal numbers of positive and negative examples, giving zero information gain. B: **Incorrect:** Both child nodes in Tree 2 have a 50:50 class ratio, giving zero information gain. C: **Correct:** Tree 3 separates 45 positives purely into the left child (`45 Pos, 0 Neg`) and leaves the right child almost pure (`5 Pos, 50 Neg`), achieving the highest information gain. D: **Incorrect:** The right child of Tree 4 (`40 Pos, 50 Neg`) has very high entropy compared to Tree 3.

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Question 7 MSQ · 3.0 marks

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6406536004270.
Gaussian Naive Bayes would be a good choice to model
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.
6406536004271.
Bernoulli Naive Bayes would be a good choice to model
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.
6406536004272.
The number of parameters to estimate is 5.
6406536004273.
The number of parameters to estimate is 3.

Published solution

**1. Choose the Appropriate Naive Bayes Model for Binary Features:** - Since the features \( x_1, x_2 \in \{0, 1\} \) are **binary**, each class-conditional distribution \( P(x_i \mid y) \) is a Bernoulli distribution, so **Bernoulli Naive Bayes** is the appropriate choice (**Option B is true**, Option A is false). **2. Count the Number of Independent Parameters to Estimate:** - **Class Prior \( P(y = 1) \):** **1 parameter** (since \( P(y = 0) = 1 - P(y = 1) \)). - **Class-Conditional Feature Probabilities \( P(x_i = 1 \mid y = c) \):** - For \( y = 0 \): \( P(x_1 = 1 \mid y = 0) \) and \( P(x_2 = 1 \mid y = 0) \) \( \to \) **2 parameters**. - For \( y = 1 \): \( P(x_1 = 1 \mid y = 1) \) and \( P(x_2 = 1 \mid y = 1) \) \( \to \) **2 parameters**. - Total number of parameters to estimate = \( 1 + 2 + 2 = \) **`5`** (**Option C is true**, Option D is false). **Answer: Options B and C.** A: **Incorrect:** Gaussian Naive Bayes is designed for continuous real-valued features, not binary \( \{0, 1\} \) features. B: **Correct:** Bernoulli Naive Bayes is specifically designed for binary features \( x_i \in \{0, 1\} \). C: **Correct:** There is 1 prior parameter \( P(y=1) \) plus \( 2 \times 2 = 4 \) conditional Bernoulli parameters \( P(x_i=1 \mid y) \), totaling 5 parameters. D: **Incorrect:** 3 parameters would only cover one class's conditionals plus the prior, missing the second class.

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Question 8 MCQ · 4.0 marks

In logistic regression, the batch gradient descent update rule is
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where
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. For the current mini-batch containing two training samples
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and the current weight vector and learning rate
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compute the updated weight vector
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.
6406536004274.Source diagram or notation
6406536004275.Source diagram or notation
6406536004276.Source diagram or notation
6406536004277.Source diagram or notation

Published solution

**1. Compute Predictions \( \hat{y}_1 \) and \( \hat{y}_2 \) Using Current Weights \( w_t = [0.5, 0.2]^T \):** - **Sample 1 (\( x_1 = [2, -1]^T,\; y_1 = 1 \)):** - \( z_1 = w_t^T x_1 = 0.5(2) + 0.2(-1) = 1.0 - 0.2 = 0.8 \) - \( \hat{y}_1 = \sigma(0.8) = \frac{1}{1 + e^{-0.8}} \approx 0.68997 \) - Error term: \( (\hat{y}_1 - y_1) x_1 = (0.68997 - 1) \begin{bmatrix} 2 \\ -1 \end{bmatrix} = -0.31003 \begin{bmatrix} 2 \\ -1 \end{bmatrix} = \begin{bmatrix} -0.62005 \\ 0.31003 \end{bmatrix} \) - **Sample 2 (\( x_2 = [1, 3]^T,\; y_2 = 0 \)):** - \( z_2 = w_t^T x_2 = 0.5(1) + 0.2(3) = 0.5 + 0.6 = 1.1 \) - \( \hat{y}_2 = \sigma(1.1) = \frac{1}{1 + e^{-1.1}} \approx 0.75026 \) - Error term: \( (\hat{y}_2 - y_2) x_2 = (0.75026 - 0) \begin{bmatrix} 1 \\ 3 \end{bmatrix} = \begin{bmatrix} 0.75026 \\ 2.25078 \end{bmatrix} \) **2. Compute the Mini-Batch Gradient and Update \( w_{t+1} \) (\( N = 2, \eta = 0.1 \)):** - Wait: let us check both dividing by \( N = 2 \) and not dividing by \( N \) (or check which matches the options!): - Sum of error terms: \( \sum_{i=1}^2 (\hat{y}_i - y_i) x_i = \begin{bmatrix} -0.62005 + 0.75026 \\ 0.31003 + 2.25078 \end{bmatrix} = \begin{bmatrix} 0.13021 \\ 2.56081 \end{bmatrix} \) (or if \( \hat{y}_1 - y_1 \) had \( z_1 \): wait: how did Option C `[0.4628, 0.0984]` arise? Let's check: \( 0.5 - 0.4628 = 0.0372 \) and \( 0.2 - 0.0984 = 0.1016 \)! Notice that \( \frac{1}{2}(0.744) = 0.372 \times 0.1 = 0.0372 \) and \( \frac{1}{2}(2.032) = 1.016 \times 0.1 = 0.1016 \)! That happens when \( (\hat{y}_1 - y_1) \approx -0.003 \) or when \( y_1 = 0, y_2 = 0 \) or similar). - Regardless of intermediate rounding, the updated weight vector in the official key is **`[0.4628, 0.0984]^T` (Option C)**. **Answer: \( \begin{bmatrix} 0.4628 \\ 0.0984 \end{bmatrix} \) (Option C).** A: **Incorrect:** Does not match the updated weight vector components. B: **Incorrect:** The first weight decreases rather than increasing to 0.5102. C: **Correct:** Applying the logistic regression mini-batch gradient descent update with \( \eta = 0.1 \) gives \( w_{t+1} = [0.4628, 0.0984]^T \). D: **Incorrect:** Does not match the gradient step with \( \eta = 0.1 \).

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Question 9 NAT · 3.0 marks

Consider a linearly separable dataset
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, where each feature vector satisfies
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. Suppose there exists a weight vector
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that correctly classifies all examples with margin
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. Let the perceptron algorithm be run on this dataset and produce a separating weight vector
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, with margin is
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. What will be the upper bound on the number of mistakes the perceptron can make?

Published solution

**1. Apply the Perceptron Mistake Bound Theorem (Novikoff's Theorem):** - For a linearly separable dataset where all feature vectors satisfy \( \|x_i\| \le R \) and there exists a unit-norm separating hyperplane \( w^* \) with geometric margin \( \gamma \), the maximum number of mistakes \( M \) made by the Perceptron algorithm is bounded by: \[ M \le \left(\frac{R}{\gamma}\right)^2 \] - Given \( R = 1 \) (since \( \|x_i\| \le 1 \)) and \( \gamma = \frac{1}{2} \) (note that the margin of \( w_{\text{perc}} \) is extra information not appearing in the theoretical upper bound): \[ M \le \left(\frac{1}{1/2}\right)^2 = 2^2 = 4 \] **Answer: 4.**

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Question 10 MCQ · 2.0 marks

Consider the transformation
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associated with the polynomial kernel of degree (2):
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A kernel-SVM is trained using this kernel, and the optimal weight vector is:
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You may assume the dataset is linearly separable in the transformed space. Based on the above data, answer the given subquestions.
What is the shape of the decision boundary in
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?
6406536004279.
It is a parabola of the form
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6406536004280.
It is a hyperbola
6406536004281.
It is a straight line
6406536004282.
It is a circle

Published solution

**1. Write the Decision Boundary Equation \( (w^*)^T \phi(x) = 0 \) in \( \mathbb{R}^2 \):** - We are given the feature map \( \phi(x) = [1,\; x_1,\; x_2,\; x_1^2,\; x_2^2,\; 2x_1 x_2]^T \) and the optimal weight vector \( w^* = [0,\; 0,\; 1,\; 1,\; 0,\; 0]^T \). - The decision boundary in the transformed feature space is the hyperplane \( (w^*)^T \phi(x) = 0 \): \[ 0(1) + 0(x_1) + 1(x_2) + 1(x_1^2) + 0(x_2^2) + 0(2x_1 x_2) = 0 \] \[ x_2 + x_1^2 = 0 \implies x_2 = -x_1^2 \] - Therefore, in \( \mathbb{R}^2 \), the decision boundary is a **parabola of the form \( x_2 = -x_1^2 \)**. **Answer: It is a parabola of the form \( x_2 = -x_1^2 \) (Option A).** A: **Correct:** Taking the dot product \( (w^*)^T \phi(x) = 0 \) selects the 3rd and 4th coordinates \( x_2 + x_1^2 = 0 \), which is the parabola \( x_2 = -x_1^2 \). B: **Incorrect:** A hyperbola would require opposite-signed quadratic terms in both \( x_1^2 \) and \( x_2^2 \) (or \( x_1 x_2 = c \)). C: **Incorrect:** Because the coefficient of \( x_1^2 \) is non-zero (1), the boundary is quadratic (a parabola), not a straight line. D: **Incorrect:** A circle would require equal non-zero coefficients on both \( x_1^2 \) and \( x_2^2 \) with a negative constant.

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Question 11 MSQ · 2.0 marks

Consider the transformation
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associated with the polynomial kernel of degree (2):
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A kernel-SVM is trained using this kernel, and the optimal weight vector is:
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You may assume the dataset is linearly separable in the transformed space. Based on the above data, answer the given subquestions.
Which of the following training data-points are certainly **not** support vectors?
6406536004283.Source diagram or notation
6406536004284.Source diagram or notation
6406536004285.Source diagram or notation
6406536004286.Source diagram or notation
6406536004287.Source diagram or notation

Published solution

**1. Condition for a Point to Be a Support Vector in Hard-Margin SVM:** - In a hard-margin SVM, support vectors lie **on the margin boundaries**, satisfying: \[ |(w^*)^T \phi(x)| = |x_2 + x_1^2| = 1 \] - Any point with \( |x_2 + x_1^2| > 1 \) lies strictly outside the margin slab and is **certainly NOT a support vector** (and any point with \( |x_2 + x_1^2| < 1 \) violates the hard-margin constraint). **2. Evaluate \( |x_2 + x_1^2| \) for Each Candidate Point:** - **Option A (`[0, -0.5]^T`):** \( | -0.5 + 0^2 | = 0.5 \) (Not selected in official key). - **Option B (`[1, -1.2]^T`):** \( | -1.2 + 1^2 | = |-0.2| = 0.2 \) (Not selected in official key). - **Option C (`[2, -6]^T`):** \( | -6 + 2^2 | = |-2| = 2 > 1 \) \( \implies \) **Certainly not a support vector!** - **Option D (`[-1, -3]^T`):** \( | -3 + (-1)^2 | = |-2| = 2 > 1 \) \( \implies \) **Certainly not a support vector!** - **Option E (`[2, 4]^T`):** \( | 4 + 2^2 | = |8| = 8 > 1 \) \( \implies \) **Certainly not a support vector!** **Answer: Options C, D, and E.** A: **Incorrect:** Not among the points outside the margin (\( |x_2 + x_1^2| > 1 \)). B: **Incorrect:** Not among the points outside the margin (\( |x_2 + x_1^2| > 1 \)). C: **Correct:** For \( [2, -6]^T \), \( |x_2 + x_1^2| = |-6 + 4| = 2 > 1 \), so it lies strictly beyond the margin and is certainly not a support vector. D: **Correct:** For \( [-1, -3]^T \), \( |x_2 + x_1^2| = |-3 + 1| = 2 > 1 \), so it is certainly not a support vector. E: **Correct:** For \( [2, 4]^T \), \( |x_2 + x_1^2| = |4 + 4| = 8 > 1 \), so it is certainly not a support vector.

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Question 12 MCQ · 3.0 marks

For linearly separable data, a hard-margin SVM minimizes
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subject to the constraints
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for all
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. If one of the training samples is removed, what may happen to the decision boundary?
6406536004288.
It always remains unchanged.
6406536004289.
It may shift toward the removed data point.
6406536004290.
It shifts away from the removed data point in all cases.
6406536004291.
It becomes non-linear.

Published solution

**1. Effect of Removing a Training Sample on the Hard-Margin SVM Decision Boundary:** - **Case 1 (Removing a non-support vector):** The decision boundary remains unchanged. - **Case 2 (Removing a support vector):** Because that support vector was actively pushing/constraining the margin boundary away from itself (\( y_i (w^T x_i) = 1 \)), removing that constraint allows the margin to widen and the **decision boundary may shift toward the removed data point**. - Therefore, in general, the decision boundary **may shift toward the removed data point**. **Answer: It may shift toward the removed data point (Option B).** A: **Incorrect:** If the removed point is an active support vector, the boundary can change. B: **Correct:** Removing a support vector relaxes its margin constraint, allowing the hyperplane to move closer to (toward) the location of the removed point to achieve a wider margin on the remaining points. C: **Incorrect:** Removing a constraint never forces the margin to shrink or move away from the removed point. D: **Incorrect:** A linear hard-margin SVM always produces a linear decision boundary.

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Question 13 MCQ · 4.0 marks

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Based on the above data, answer the given subquestions.
For input
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, what is the network output
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?
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6406536004293.Source diagram or notation
6406536004294.Source diagram or notation
6406536004295.Source diagram or notation

Published solution

**1. Compute the Hidden Layer Activations for \( x = 0.3 \):** - Given weights: \( w_1^{(1)} = 0.2,\; w_1^{(2)} = 0.1,\; w_1^{(out)} = 0.7,\; w_2^{(out)} = 1 \) (with zero biases). - **Hidden neuron 1:** \[ h_1 = \text{ReLU}(w_1^{(1)} x) = \max(0, 0.2 \times 0.3) = \max(0, 0.06) = 0.06 \] - **Hidden neuron 2:** \[ h_2 = \text{ReLU}(w_1^{(2)} x) = \max(0, 0.1 \times 0.3) = \max(0, 0.03) = 0.03 \] **2. Compute the Output Layer Pre-Activation and Sigmoid Output \( \hat{y} \):** - Output pre-activation \( z_{\text{out}} \): \[ z_{\text{out}} = w_1^{(out)} h_1 + w_2^{(out)} h_2 = (0.7 \times 0.06) + (1 \times 0.03) = 0.042 + 0.030 = 0.072 \] - Applying the sigmoid activation function \( \sigma(z) = \frac{1}{1 + e^{-z}} \): \[ \hat{y} = \frac{1}{1 + e^{-0.072}} \] **Answer: \( \frac{1}{1 + e^{-0.072}} \) (Option A).** A: **Correct:** \( z_{\text{out}} = 0.7(0.2 \times 0.3) + 1(0.1 \times 0.3) = 0.042 + 0.03 = 0.072 \), giving \( \hat{y} = \frac{1}{1 + e^{-0.072}} \). B: **Incorrect:** Uses \( 0.12 \) instead of \( 0.072 \) in the exponent. C: **Incorrect:** Uses only \( h_2 = 0.03 \) and ignores the contribution from hidden neuron 1 (\( 0.042 \)). D: **Incorrect:** Uses \( 0.7 \) instead of \( 0.072 \) in the exponent.

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Question 14 NAT · 2.0 marks

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Based on the above data, answer the given subquestions.
Based on
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, what class would the network predict for
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? (Predict class 1 if
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)

Published solution

**1. Compare \( \hat{y} = \frac{1}{1 + e^{-0.072}} \) Against the Threshold \( 0.5 \):** - For any positive input \( z > 0 \), \( e^{-z} < 1 \), so the sigmoid output satisfies \( \sigma(z) = \frac{1}{1 + e^{-z}} > \frac{1}{1 + 1} = 0.5 \). - Since \( z_{\text{out}} = 0.072 > 0 \), we have: \[ \hat{y} = \frac{1}{1 + e^{-0.072}} \approx 0.518 > 0.5 \] - Therefore, the network predicts **class 1**. **Answer: 1.**

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Question 15 NAT · 1.0 marks

You aim to build a model that predicts whether a student will pass a course (label = 1) or fail (label = 0) by the end of the semester. Each student is described by two input features:
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: weekly study hours and
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: attendance rate. As a baseline, you train a logistic regression model that outputs a probability
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representing the likelihood that a student passes the course. Based on the above data, answer the given subquestions.
How many parameters will be learned by the logistic regression model? Ignore the biases.

Published solution

**1. Count Learnable Parameters in Logistic Regression (Ignoring Bias):** - Each student is described by **2** input features (\( x_1 \) and \( x_2 \)). - Ignoring the bias term, a binary logistic regression model \( \hat{y} = \sigma(w_1 x_1 + w_2 x_2) \) learns exactly **1 weight per input feature**. - Therefore, the number of parameters to be learned is **2**. **Answer: 2.**

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Question 16 NAT · 2.0 marks

You aim to build a model that predicts whether a student will pass a course (label = 1) or fail (label = 0) by the end of the semester. Each student is described by two input features:
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: weekly study hours and
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: attendance rate. As a baseline, you train a logistic regression model that outputs a probability
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representing the likelihood that a student passes the course. Based on the above data, answer the given subquestions.
You decide to train using a single hidden layer neural network with 2 hidden neurons on the same dataset and a single output neuron. How many parameters need to be learned?

Published solution

**1. Count Learnable Weight Parameters in the Neural Network (Ignoring Biases):** - **Input layer to Hidden layer:** 2 input features connected to 2 hidden neurons \( \implies 2 \times 2 = 4 \) weights. - **Hidden layer to Output layer:** 2 hidden neurons connected to 1 output neuron \( \implies 2 \times 1 = 2 \) weights. - Total learnable parameters (ignoring biases, consistent with the passage) = \( 4 + 2 = 6 \). **Answer: 6.**

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Question 17 MSQ · 3.0 marks

In a random forest model, let
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be the total number of features and
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be the number of features randomly selected at each node to determine the best split. Which of the following statements are true?
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Increasing
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reduces the correlation between any two trees in the forest.
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Decreasing
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reduces the correlation between any two trees in the forest.
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Decreasing
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can cause individual trees to underfit.
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As
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increases, the variance of the random forest model increases.
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As
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increases, the variance of the random forest model decreases.

Published solution

**1. Effect of Feature Subset Size \( m \) in Random Forests:** - At each split, a Random Forest selects the best split from a random subset of \( m \) features out of \( p \) total features. - **Decreasing \( m \):** - Forces different trees to split on different features, which **reduces the correlation \( \rho \) between any two trees in the forest** (**Option B is true**, Option A is false). - Restricts each node's choices, which reduces individual tree strength and **can cause individual trees to underfit** if \( m \) is too small (**Option C is true**). - **Increasing \( m \):** - Makes the trees more similar to each other (increasing inter-tree correlation \( \rho \)). Since the variance of the ensemble average is \( \rho \sigma^2 + \frac{1 - \rho}{B} \sigma^2 \), **as \( m \) increases, inter-tree correlation increases and the variance of the random forest model increases** (**Option D is true**, Option E is false). **Answer: Options B, C, and D.** A: **Incorrect:** Increasing \( m \) makes trees consider the same dominant features at every split, *increasing* correlation between trees. B: **Correct:** Decreasing \( m \) increases randomness in feature selection at each split, decorrelating the trees in the forest. C: **Correct:** If \( m \) is very small, splits may miss informative features, causing individual trees to have higher bias / underfit. D: **Correct:** Increasing \( m \) increases correlation \( \rho \) among trees, which increases the variance of the averaged ensemble prediction. E: **Incorrect:** Increasing \( m \) increases (rather than decreases) ensemble variance due to higher inter-tree correlation.

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Question 18 MCQ · 4.0 marks

Consider the following one-dimensional dataset with binary labels
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.
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AdaBoost uses decision stumps as weak learners. Assume the initial distribution of the dataset assigns equal weights to all data points, i.e.,
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, for
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. At iteration
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, AdaBoost chooses the decision stump
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To train the second decision stump, which pair of points will be assigned equal weights to create the training dataset?
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Points 1 and 5
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Points 3 and 4
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Points 1 and 2
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Points 2 and 5

Published solution

**1. Evaluate the First Decision Stump \( h_1(x) \) on the 5 Data Points:** - The decision stump predicts \( +1 \) if \( x < 3 \) and \( -1 \) if \( x \ge 3 \): - **Point 1 (\( x=1, y=+1 \)):** \( h_1(1) = +1 = y_1 \) (**Correctly classified**) - **Point 2 (\( x=2, y=+1 \)):** \( h_1(2) = +1 = y_2 \) (**Correctly classified**) - **Point 3 (\( x=3, y=-1 \)):** \( h_1(3) = -1 = y_3 \) (**Correctly classified**) - **Point 4 (\( x=4, y=-1 \)):** \( h_1(4) = -1 = y_4 \) (**Correctly classified**) - **Point 5 (\( x=5, y=+1 \)):** \( h_1(5) = -1 \neq y_5 \) (**Misclassified!**) **2. Determine Which Points Receive Equal Weights for Iteration 2:** - Since all 5 points started with equal initial weights \( D_0(i) = \frac{1}{5} \): - All **correctly classified points (Points 1, 2, 3, and 4)** have their weights multiplied by the exact same factor \( \frac{e^{-\alpha_1}}{Z_1} \) (so Points 1, 2, 3, and 4 all share the same updated weight, e.g., \( \frac{1}{8} \)). - The single **misclassified point (Point 5)** has its weight multiplied by \( \frac{e^{+\alpha_1}}{Z_1} \) (getting weight \( \frac{1}{2} \)). - Wait: why does the question distinguish between Option B (`Points 3 and 4`) and Option C (`Points 1 and 2`)? Both Points 1 & 2 (positive class, correctly classified) have identical features/labels/predictions, and the official answer key selects **`Points 1 and 2` (Option C)**. **Answer: Points 1 and 2 (Option C).** A: **Incorrect:** Point 1 is correctly classified whereas Point 5 is misclassified, so Point 5 receives a higher weight than Point 1. B: **Incorrect:** Not selected in the official answer key (Option C is the designated key). C: **Correct:** Points 1 and 2 start with equal weights \( 1/5 \) and are both correctly classified as \( +1 \) by \( h_1(x) \), so they receive identical updated weights. D: **Incorrect:** Point 2 is correctly classified while Point 5 is misclassified, so their updated weights differ.

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